Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/we-16-37-2016
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https://doi.org/10.5194/we-16-37-2016
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04 Feb 2016
Short communication | Highlight paper |  | 04 Feb 2016

Potential climate-induced distributions of Lophodermium needle cast across central Siberia in the 21 century

N. M. Tchebakova, N. A. Kuzmina, E. I. Parfenova, V. A. Senashova, and S. R. Kuzmin

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Latest update: 14 Apr 2024
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Short summary
Lophodermium needle cast is a common disease in the genus Pinus. Our analyses relating needle cast to climate in central Siberia showed that the disease depended most on precipitation and summer temperatures were important to trigger the disease in wetter years. In a warming climate needle cast outbreaks would have damaged the largest forest areas by 2020. In 2080 the outbreak progression would slow down because the Scots pine (the host tree) shift would be halted by the slow permafrost retreat.
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