Articles | Volume 16, issue 1
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04 Feb 2016
Short communication | Highlight paper |  | 04 Feb 2016

Potential climate-induced distributions of Lophodermium needle cast across central Siberia in the 21 century

N. M. Tchebakova, N. A. Kuzmina, E. I. Parfenova, V. A. Senashova, and S. R. Kuzmin

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Cited articles

Filipchuk, A. N. and Deryugin, A. A.: Forest state and use in Russia (from monitoring data of 2006), Forestry information, 1–2, 39–54, 2008.
Gauthier, S., Bernier, P., Kuuluvainen, T., Shvidenko, A. Z., and Schepaschenko, D. G.: Boreal forest health and global change, Science, 349, 819–822, 2015.
Krutov, V. I.: Fungi diseases of conifers in the taiga artificial cenoses of the European North of the USSR, Karelian Branch of the USSR Academy of Sciences, Petrozavodsk, 208 pp., 1989.
Kuzmina, N. A., Senashova, V. A., and Kuzmin, S. R.: Needle cast distributions in Scots pine stands in central Siberia, Russian Journal of Forest Science, 64, 61–68, 2014.
Monserud, R. A. and Leemans, R.: Comparing global vegetation maps with the Kappa statistic, Ecol. Model., 62, 275–293, 1992.
Short summary
Lophodermium needle cast is a common disease in the genus Pinus. Our analyses relating needle cast to climate in central Siberia showed that the disease depended most on precipitation and summer temperatures were important to trigger the disease in wetter years. In a warming climate needle cast outbreaks would have damaged the largest forest areas by 2020. In 2080 the outbreak progression would slow down because the Scots pine (the host tree) shift would be halted by the slow permafrost retreat.
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